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Cyclone Approaches West Burma, Raising Alarm for IDPs

Previous: Recent 30-Year Warmth Unrivaled for last 1,400 Years April 23, 2013; 2:31 PM The Earth's climate warmed more during the 30-year period between 1971-2000 than any other three-decade period in the last 1,400 years, according to a new international study. The regional study, which was published in the journal Nature Geoscience by 80 international scientists, looked at historical records and data taken from tree rings, pollen, cave formations, ice cores and ocean/lake sediments from the seven continents. The study also showed that the MedievalWarm Period that took place between 950 and 1250 AD may not have been global as other research has also indicated. Excerpt below from the The Earth Institute Columbia University..... Some people have argued that the natural warming that occurred during the medieval ages is happening today, and that humans are not responsible for modern day global warming. Scientists are nearly unanimous in their disagreement "If we went into another Medieval Warm Period again that extra warmth would be added on top of warming from greenhouse gases," said study co-author Edward Cook, a tree-ring scientist at Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory. The most consistent trend across all regions in the last 2,000 years was a long-term cooling, likely caused by a rise in volcanic activity, decrease in solar irradiance, changes in land-surface vegetation, and slow variations in Earth's orbit. With the exception of Antarctica, cooling tapered off at the end of the 19th century, with the onset of industrialization.
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Cyclone Approaches West Burma, Raising Alarm for IDPs

An image from NASA shows the huge rainfall footprint produced by Tropical Cyclone 01B as it intensified over the Bay of Bengal this week. (Photo: NASA Goddard Space Flight Center)
An image from NASA shows the huge rainfall footprint produced by Tropical Cyclone 01B as it intensified over the Bay of Bengal this week. (Photo: NASA Goddard Space Flight Center)
RANGOON—A tropical cyclone is expected to hit west Burma’s Arakan State next week, according to a warning by the US military on Friday, raising concerns of possible humanitarian disaster for tens of thousands of displaced people living in makeshift camps and flood-prone areas.
A “severe cyclonic storm” is expected to make landfall on Tuesday night, the US Navy and Air Force’s Joint Typhoon Warning Center has forecast, according to an alert by the Tropical Storm Risk, a UK-based storm forecaster.
One-minute maximum sustained winds could reach 166 km/h, while wind gusts may be even stronger, the alert said.
Tropical Cyclone 01B, which formed over the Indian Ocean, is expected to damage buildings, trees, mobile homes and piers in the state, with coastal and low-lying escape routes likely flooding several hours before arrival of the storm’s center, the alert said. There is also a potential for flooding farther inland.
Burma’s meteorology department said it was aware of the warning and preparing for the storm.
“We’ve already sent a warning to authorities in relevant regions, including the natural disaster prevention committee,” Kyaw Moe Oo, deputy director general of the Department of Meteorology and Hydrology, told The Irrawaddy by phone from Naypyidaw on Friday.
Ahead of monsoon season, the UN refugee agency last month called on Burma’s government to urgently increase aid to Arakan State, where more than 100,000 people were displaced in clashes between Buddhists and Muslims last year.
“UNHCR is seriously concerned about the risks facing over 60,000 displaced people in flood-prone areas and in makeshift shelters,” a spokesperson said, according to an online statement by the refugee agency, which added that the monsoon season from May to September was expected to bring heavy rains and possible cyclones. “The most critical sites are in Sittwe, Pauktaw and Myebon, where the displaced are living near the coast and are vulnerable to tidal surges.”
The newly formed Tropical Cyclone 01B could affect areas in Bangladesh, India and Burma, according to Eric Leister, a meteorologist reporting for US-based AccuWeather.com, who said it was one of two tropical cyclones that formed from a large unsettled zone of weather in the Indian Ocean this week.
The second storm, Tropical Cyclone Jamala, does not pose a serious risk to landfall, he reported, as it is expected to drift south and then westward over the open Indian Ocean during this time.
Five years ago, a cyclone that hit Burma’s densely-populated Irrawaddy delta region in May 2008 killed at least 138,000 people. Relief efforts for the humanitarian disaster were severely slowed after Cyclone Nargis because Burma’s former military regime initially refused offers of international aid.

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